Key NFL Stats to Look at When Betting

By | January 19, 2022

When it comes to placing a bet, knowing how to bet and how to use information about teams and players is crucial. One of the essential things to consider before putting a wager is statistics, which are freely available. It’s very important to discover a means to look at NFL numbers while betting on NFL games. It is paramount that you look at the NFL stats prior to making any bets.

To earn money betting on sports, sports bettors must constantly find a method to be ahead of the game. Most people look at a few statistics to determine if they should bet on the moneyline, the spread, or the over/under. In most cases, determining the over/under is as simple as looking at data. We’ll go through key data that you should consider while betting on NFL games below. 

Time of Possession

When determining which team to bet on, one of the most crucial factors to consider is the time of possession. The importance of time of possession comes from the fact that teams with more time of possession each game have a significantly better-rested defense at the conclusion of the game. In close games, this is critical as teams strive to drive down the field and tie or win the game. 

It’s not a smart idea to wager on or against a team only based on time of possession. It may, however, be combined with other statistics to produce a formula of statistics that works well together. If you are on the field at the end of the game and are rested, then that team will have a better chance of success.

Turnover Margin

The team that turns the ball over the fewest times is a solid predictor of who will win a game. If you have a team that is prone to turning the ball over and are playing against a team that creates a lot of turnovers, this is a statistic that you should pay attention to. It’s a positive sign that you’ll be able to win the game if you can produce a lot of turnovers. 

It is not a statistic that can be used purely to judge whether or not you should wager on a team, similar to time of possession. It is, nonetheless, a very excellent predictor of on-field performance. 

Yardage Statistics

Another interesting metric to consider is the plethora of yardage statistics available. From offensive and defensive starting field position to offensive and defensive yards per run and pass attempt. In general, looking at yardage data is far more useful than anything else in determining who to bet on. 

If a team is able to string together large plays, it will show up in the yardage stats rather than the score totals. Starting field position on both the offensive and defensive sides is crucial since shorter fields result in more points being scored. 

Another reason that yardage statistics are sometimes overblown is that the “garbage time” yardage is accumulated sometimes. Some teams end up getting a lot of yards in late-game situations when they would not have otherwise gotten that yardage.

Points Scored and Points Allowed

Scoring should only be considered when betting on games’ over/under totals. When betting on the moneyline or the spread, there are really too many factors to consider to pay any attention to scoring averages. It’s best to glance at the score only when you’re sure both sides are fully healthy, as a few injuries may throw everything off.

If both teams score more than the over/under, then the game is probably likely to hit the over. If both teams combine to score less than the over/under on their season averages, then the game is likely to still hit the under.

When deciding who to bet on in NFL games, there is a variety of data to consider. There are many other statistics you may use, but the ones listed above will help you figure out what works best for you. Make sure that you do not chase money and make smart bets. Manage your bankroll and utilize some of the above statistics, and you will be good to go.